通博|盤口真假分析
盤口真假?
球無假球,盤皆假盤”。不是說所有隊都打假球,但博彩公司確實能比一般人甚至媒體掌握更真實的比賽內幕,包括隊伍狀態、場地狀況、天氣情況、出場名單等情況,由此估計最接近的結果
(對一些財力較差的俱樂部甚至可能收買以製造結果),因此儘管有很多意外因素,但他們預測的準確率肯定要高於常人,這一點不容懷疑。
而博彩公司開門做生意,就是希望下注人押錯,錯得越多,他賺得越多。
於是他們有可能傳出假消息,再通過盤口來引導投注者投錯誤結果。
這樣如果我們通過看盤分析好莊家心理,就能知道莊家看好哪支球隊,可以達到事半功倍的效果。
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賭盤分類
盤口可分賭盤和陰謀盤。賭盤就是賭運氣,莊家開的不可能都是陰謀盤,
也會調幾個把握不大的和你賭運氣,這種盤都是模棱兩可,押哪隊都有,莊家即便賠錢也不會很多。
常見盤口有:平手盤;平手/半球盤;半球盤;半球/一球盤;一球盤;一球/球半盤;球半盤;球半/兩球盤……
其他盤口比較少見,世界盃期間,巴西對中國開出了兩球半/三球的盤口,最後我們的國家隊還是輸球輸盤。
以上盤口中,半球/一球盤通常是莊家誘人下注所開盤,因為若押上盤,要贏兩球才全贏,若押下盤,輸一球只輸一半,而開這種盤時,必定是兩隊有差距但差距並不是很大,一般人心理就會押下盤,以輸一半來博全贏。
平手盤通常不會打平,打平對莊家沒好處,因為平局只能抽取5%手續費,利潤太薄。半球盤是賭盤,最是兇險。球半盤說明讓球方贏面大,但不代表必勝。
Handicap true or false? “The ball has no fake ball, and the game is fake.” It’s not that all teams play fake
matches, but betting companies can indeed grasp more real insider information about the game than ordinary people or
even the media, including team status, venue conditions, weather conditions, playing lists, etc., and estimate the
closest result from this. (Some clubs with poor financial resources may even buy in to produce results). Therefore,
despite many unexpected factors, their prediction accuracy is definitely higher than that of ordinary people. This
point can not be doubted. The bookmaker opens the door to do business in the hope that the bettor makes a mistake.
The more mistakes he makes, the more he earns. So they may send out false news, and then use the handicap to guide
bettors to vote the wrong result. In this way, if we analyze the psychology of the dealer by looking at the game, we
can know which team the dealer is optimistic about, which can achieve a multiplier effect.
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